How Many Guns In Australia?

Some outrageous estimations have been made of the total number of guns in Australia. Ian McNiven, one of Queensland’s more extremist gun lobbyist’s, believes that there could be 10 million guns in Australia and Ted Drane, ex-President of the Sporting Shooters Association has suggested a similar number. There is little evidence that there are anything like 10 million guns in this country. All the evidence suggests that there are between 4 and 4.5 million guns in Australia.

Three years ago the then Victorian Police Minister Pat McNamara’s claimed there were 2 million illegal guns in Victoria, but if you add the number of legal guns in Victoria at that time you get a figure of 2.75 million guns in Victoria. Victoria has 1/4 of the population of Australia and we might expect therefore that there were 11 million guns in Australia.

We argue that this is nonsense and discredits Mr McNamara and his National Party. We cannot blame conservative parties for these gross exaggerations because the ALP premier of NSW, Bob Carr also appears to have grossly exaggerated the number of guns in his State. Mr Carr claimed, in 1995, that there were 3 million guns in NSW. This simply does not make sense. Let’s look at the research that has been done on the number of guns in Australia.

In 1975 professor Richard Harding, Dean of the Law School at the University of Western Australia used an extensive social survey to establish that there were approx. 2.25 million guns in Australia.

Using the Australian Bureau of Statistics figures on gun imports we can calculate that by the end of 1996 there were about 4.25 million guns in Australia. ABS figures for the last nine years are shown below.

Year
Military Style
Handguns
Shotguns
Rifles
Total

1988
1,920
6,596
11,319
20,594
40,429

1989
1,680
6,649
15,049
35,168
58,546

1990
4,548
6,065
20,497
45,687
76,797

1991
436
7,411
17,210
35,238
60,295

1992
7,888
7,829
7,510
18,798
42,016

1993
16,710
9,830
7,498
16,715
50,753

1994
15,267
9,994
10,004
21,629
56,894

1995
1,686
9,244
12,209
22,068
45,207

1996
357
9,795
21,356
37,864
69,372

1997
532
7,443
28,595
30,191
66,761

OVERALL TOTAL
567,070

The calculation of 4.25 million guns clashes with the Newspoll study conducted over recent months at the request of the Federal
government. This poll suggests that there are now only 2.5 million guns in Australia and that there were 3 million prior to the gun buy-back scheme coming into operation. Someone’s got it wrong. We suggest that the more likely error is in the Newspoll study which relies on gun owners being accurate in the information they supplied to questions made over the phone.